[Max Goodman]

Thanks, David and Matt.

David, ranked choice voting can give a result that doesn't exactly reflect the voters' actual weighted preferences. The same is true of the current system (only voters don't leave proof of this when they vote).

Matt, I don't see how these probabilities of voters having different preferences correlate with probabilities of their being no clear winner. As far as I'm understanding the calculations, they show the probability that ranked choice voting will give a different result than the current system would. That's not something to be avoided; that's the whole point.